This pick was released to clients on July 30, 2012 at 10:54PM ET.
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Pittsburgh at Carolina

December 17, 2006
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
5 units on Carolina +3 (-110) (risk 5 to return 9.55)
Result:
LOSS

What a dissapointment. Pittsburgh wins the Super Bowl last year and now sits at 6-7 with no hopes for the playoffs. Carolina was supposed to be this year's Super Bowl representative from the NFC but they also sit at 6-7. We have faded the Panthers a lot this year as we believed them to be overrated from the start. The public was enamored with them for most of the season. Well, after losing their last three in a row, all as a favorite, the public is finally off that train. And it's time for us to jump on. They are officially down-and-out now and we suddenly get line value on them as a three point home underdog. Their offense has been pretty bad all year but their defense remains good (ranked 7th in points allowed). Outside of one one debacle against the Romo-led Dallas Cowboys in week nine, the Panthers have played VERY tough defense at home allowing no more than 19 points twice and averaging 14.5 ppg here. Pittsburgh really has no business laying points on the road here. They have already posted two 0-point road performances this year and they average under 15 ppg. Against good defenses like Carolina's, they posted 0 against Jacksonville, 13 vs. San Diego and 0 against Baltimore! While they have done OK at home, they are 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS away from home this year. Carolina has two road games coming up against division rival Atlanta and hot New Orleans. This, their last home game, is their best chance for a feel-good win and we think they will bring it whether Weinke or Delhomme starts. Pittsburgh just hasn't proven themselves on the road and shouldn't be laying points.

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