Phoenix at Dallas

Struggling Phoenix is getting to be too big a dog, and the Suns are 27-12-2 ATS following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. They wind up a four-game trip here, and over the last four games have pulled an upset of Atlanta, 98-95 as a +10 dog, and hung close with the 76ers on the road. The offense is dealing with some injuries, so they are slowing the pace down, on a 4-2 run UNDER the total. Dallas is playing a slower pace, too, because of age and injuries, stifling the Brooklyn Nets in a 91-79 victory on Friday. The Mavericks were without Zaza Pachulia (age 31) and Dirk Nowitzki (age 37) in a 127-107 loss at Golden State on Wednesday, back now, but the coach is watching their performance and their minutes. Dallas is 18-7-1 UNDER the total playing on one day of rest, plus 37-14-1 UNDER against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Mavericks shooting guard Wesley Matthews failed to score in double digits in any of the last three games and is 8-of-24 from the field in that span. Dallas is a big favorite, but not a stellar defensive team at #15 in points allowed and #14 in field goal shooting defense. The Mavericks are 2-8 ATS following a straight up win of more than 10 points, and the UNDER is 9-3 when these teams meet in Dallas. The value is on the big dog and for a slow-paced first half. Play Phoenix and the First-Half UNDER.