2016 Season WNBA Basketball Past Picks
September 28, 2016
Phoenix at Minnesota
Wednesday 09/28 08:00 PM Eastern
1 unit on Minnesota -245 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 1.41) RESULT: win
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 166 -115 (risk 1 to return 1.87) RESULT: loss
Phoenix is a weak road team, 5-12 during the regular season, and this is its fourth straight road game. Phoenix has some weak spots, eighth in the WNBA in rebounding, assists and points allowed. They gave up 94 points and 52.9% shooting the last game, but pulled out the win at New York. That soft defense won't cut it against powerhouse Minnesota. This is the third game in seven nights for Phoenix, while Minnesota is home and rested not having played in nine days. They received a double-bye to the Semifinals as the #1 overall seed. Minnesota won the first meeting at home, and won the battle of the glass at 40-24. They also won the second meeting where they allowed just 14 points in the first and third quarters, with the game sailing UNDER the total. Phoenix is 36-24 UNDER the past two seasons when facing an up-tempo team like Minnesota (teams averaging 62+ shots per game). They are also 26-14 UNDER vs. division opponents the past two seasons, and 25-14 UNDER after a win over same span. The UNDER is also 12-5 when these rivals clash, and this one shapes up as another defensive duel. Take both Minnesota on the moneyline and the UNDER in this one.