Top pick: #6 (FAVORITE VALAY) - Takes a huge drop and cuts back in distance for a very capable barn (Keith Lebarron). It is hard to imagine him not impacting this poor group and would be very surprised if runs worse than second.
2nd pick: #2 (Tin Soldier) - The main challenger will make his first start for trainer Mike Catalano (a 27% winning move) after a claim in early November from the Scott Lake barn. Has good tactical sped and he may be put right on the lead today.