Philadelphia at New York

The Mets have had a long line of top minor-league pitching prospects that have failed to cut it at the big league level, and at this stage Mike Pelfrey may be the next. Pelfrey has been idle since spring training and this could be a difficult spot for him. The Mets were just 4-9 in his 13 starts last season, and opponents scored 76 runs in the nine losses. So when he is bad, he is really bad. Going back to '06, the Mets are just 4-11 in his last 15 starts. Kyle Kendrick, on the other hand, established himself as a top-flight pitcher last season as the Phillies went 13-7 in his 20 starts. One of the wins was a two-run gem against the Mets. This Mets team appears to have a fragile psyche, and they aren't off to a very good start again. Some great value on the Phillies here.