Philadelphia at New Jersey

Philadelphia has scored all season, averaging 3.2 per game overall. Over their last five they have boosted that to 3.6 per game while also playing slightly worse defense. New Jersey is a very low-scoring team and good defending team. But, this total is very low, at five. The Flyers are 51-35 OVER vs. winning teams the last three seasons and 36-24 OVER when revenging a loss the past two seasons. The Devils have given up 3+ goals three in their last six games. If there's a team that can hang 3 or 4 on them, Philly is it. We like the OVER here.