Philadelphia at Milwaukee

The Philadelphia Phillies may have the best overall record in baseball, but the Milwaukee Brewers have been the best home team at 50-19. That gives us the luxury in this one to have a team that is the better team, considering the venue, at pretty substantial plus odds. Chris Naverson has also been highly effective of late, allowing just 2 runs in his last three appearances - one of which came in relief. The Phillies have suddenly dropped two of their last three Hamel starts. Milwaukee could be on a collision course with Philadelphia for the NL Championship, and will be trying to make a statement here. The Brewers are in one of their best spots at home with a total from 7-8.5 where they are 40-12 in their last 52. Milwaukee gets this one.