2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 09, 2007
Philadelphia at Green Bay
Sunday 09/09 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Game Total UNDER 42 -110 (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: WIN
Brett Favre enters his 16th season in the NFL. With one more victory, he will surpass the record held by John Elway. And, with seven more touchdowns, he'll surpass Dan Marino's all-time mark of 420. We're not sure if he'll get that win on Sunday but we are pretty sure he won't make too much progress toward's the TD record. The reality is, Favre is way past his prime. This team managed only 14.2 points per game at home last season! You would think they would address that problem in the offseason. But not only didn't they make it better, they actually made it worse! They lost Ahman Green, and his potential replacements are both injured. The last thing Favre needs right now is no running game. And to top it off Donald Driver is questionable with a sprained foot. Favre's counterpart, Donovan McNabb, is coming off a serious knee injury that kept him out of the final six games last season. McNabb has only started 19 of the Eagles' last 32 games. He is primed for a good year if he stays on the field but we do expect some rust in game one. And, he's likey to be without one of his favorite targets, LJ Smith (questionable with groin injury). Philadelphia did score a lot last season (24.7 per game) but that doesn't usually translate to high scoring openers the following year. In fact, opening week games featuring a road team that scored 24+ points per game last season have gone UNDER 77% of the time (17-5) the past three seasons. Five of Green Bay's last six home games have gone UNDER, as have five of the last six in this matchup. Green Bay's offense is bad and Philadelphia's will be rusty. Take the UNDER here.