img NBA

Philadelphia at Denver

December 26, 2008
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Game Total OVER 197.5 -110 (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN

This is simply a bad line on the total. The Nuggets are capable of putting a 120 on anyone on any given night. They have played to very few totals under 200 the last 3+ years, and when they have, it has been money to play them over. The last 3+ years when they have played to a total of fewer than 200 at home the OVER has been 26-12. Have these teams changed so much that the last time they played in late March of last year the total was set at 223? That one produced 228 points and an OVER. The Nuggets have also been 40-19-1 as a home favorite of 5-10.5 in their last 60, and these teams have played OVER 71.4% of the time in their last eight years when playing in Denver. The OVER gets the call here.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Philadelphia 76ers
21
31
27
22
101
Denver Nuggets img
21
28
19
37
105
odds odds
 
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