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Philadelphia at Colorado

October 6, 2007
img9:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Colorado -146 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
WIN

Two unlikely postseason candidates are matched up for game three, as the venue moves to Coors Field. The Rockies have taken the first two on the road, and will attempt to close the door on the Phillies tonight. This will be the first time since October of '95, Colorado has hosted a playoff game and you can be certain of one thing, the atmosphere will be electric. The Rockies are on a 16-1 tear, and have about as much confidence as a team could possibly have at this point. These teams are both tremendous offensively, but the Rockies far and away own Coors when it comes to offense. They have nine players at .300+, and the middle of the order "H-BOMBS" Helton, Holliday, and Hawpe have combined for a .340 avg. with 53 HRs and 190 RBIs at Coors. Throw in Atkins at .349 10 53, and Tulowitski at .326 15 60, and they are a force. Coors Field has been a chamber of horrors for Jamie Moyer. Moyer has been rocked for 12 runs on 17 hits in 11 innings or a 9.82 ERA, and has never beaten the Rockies. The Phillies are a different team on the road offensively. They feature five players over the coveted .300 mark at home, but just one on the road. The Rockies are 37-14 in their last 51 at Coors Field, which is by far the best mark of any team. Ubaldo Jimenez has been a big part in the late-season surge by the Rockies as he has not allowed more than three earned runs in nine of his last 10 starts. He was shaky when he was called and over his first five starts, pitched to a 6.57 ERA, but has settled down and pitched to a 3.30 ERA over his last 10. The Rockies also have another huge advantage in this one and that is their bullpen. The Philly pen has coughed up many a game this season, and in this series the No. 24 ranked bullpen has done it again. They have worked 7.2 innings, yielded a .313 avg. against at home, two HRs, and six runs, good for a 7.04 ERA. The Rockies pen is ranked No. 10, and has shutdown the Philly offense on the road. The body of work shows nine innings with just one run allowed! This is significant in this game because Moyer has only worked past six innings once in his last 12 starts and Jimenez has not worked past the seventh all year. One question to ask yourself and you'll see the value here. If this were the Yankees, 16-1 in their last 17, winning two on the road easily, 37-14 at home, better hitting (home for Col. Vs. road for Philly), better bullpen, what would this moneyline be? We can assure you it would be well over -200! That's where this one belongs, so we will ride the value and look for the Rockies to sweep this series.

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Philadelphia Phillies
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Colorado Rockies
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