Pepperdine at Saint Mary's CA

This is another instance of a bad team getting way too many points as Saint Mary's is only 11-13-1 ATS this season. The Waves have covered their last two games, including an overtime loss to BYU as a 10.5-point underdog. They then covered against Gonzaga while getting 24.5 points. Saint Mary's has lost two of their last three games and didn't cover the spread in any of them. Starting guard Emmett Naar, who averages 10.4 points and has 245 assists, is probable with an ankle injury for the Gaels. The road team is 20-7 ATS the last 27 meetings and the Waves are 7-2 ATS their last nine road meetings with the Gaels. Take the big points with Pepperdine.