Orlando at Boston

The chess match continues. The Orlando Magic have made better use of Dwight Howard in the last two games, resulting in two wins. I look for the Celtics to counter with more help inside to shutdown Howard, and make the Magic make lower-percentage shots. Boston has made some defensive statements at home, limiting the opponents to fewer than 45 points per game over their last four at the Garden. The NBA Conference Finals remain a profitable haven for first halves to play UNDER. Over the last 14 years in this round, the first half has failed to top the total to a 192-120 mark. That is a 61.5% blind probability. On top of that, Boston is 32-16 UNDER in the first half in their last 48 home playoff games including 12-2 when they own the series lead.  I like this one to stay UNDER the first half total.