Oklahoma City at Utah

Oklahoma City has been strong on the road at 16-9, but their last four road games have all come against less than .500 teams. The resistance and strong home-court presence of the Jazz, who are 19-6 at home on the season, should help slow the Thunder's attack. Over the last three seasons they have played just 44% of their road games vs. an elite home team (winning 75% or more of their home games) to the OVER so there is certainly evidence they are slowed in this situation. They have also been playing inspired basketball on the defensive end. holding their last four opponents to an average of under 90 points per game. The Jazz have been big here on the defensive end, allowing just 84.5 ppg in their last four at home in regulation minutes. The last 14 for the Thunder on the road vs. a team with a winning home record has resulted in a 10-4 mark to the UNDER and the Jazz are a perfect 9-0 to the UNDER at home in their last nine with two days rest. Play the UNDER.