2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 25, 2007


Oakland at Kansas City

Sunday 11/25 01:00 PM Eastern

4 units on Oakland +6  RESULT: win

Oakland is having another rough season. Offensively this team has problems finding the endzone. Kansas City has faced similar problems. When they played each other earlier it was very apparent that both struggle as they played to a 12-10 final score. Oakland has played five games vs. teams ranked in the top 14 in the league offensively, having allowed 27.2 ppg. But, the Raidres have done good against inept offenses. Versus teams ranked #20 or lower, they have also played five games, giving up just 87 points or 17.2 ppg. If you take out San Diego, a team with multiple offensive weapons, the Raiders have allowed just 14.8 ppg. The Cheifs woes have been season long on offense. They have produced a total of 66 points in seven of the 10 games they have played (9.4 ppg). They have managed to find the end-zone just 12 times all season, and four of those came deep into the 4th quarter. The last three weeks the Chiefs have run for a total of 200 yards on 71 carries (just 2.8 ypc). Larry Johnson and Priest Holmes ran for 173 of the 200, and neither will be playing in this one. The last two times these teams matched up, Johnson accounted for the only Chiefs TD and 133 of their 286 yards of offense. The Chiefs are last in the NFL running the ball, and with Johnson and Holmes out they simply have no one proven to handoff to. The problem is a mix of poor offensive line play, play calling and lack of good QB play as Johnson and Holmes accounted for 696 yards on 204 carries (3.4 ypc) which is hardly an effective running attack. The rest of the backs have 43 carries for 79 yards, good or 1.84 ypc. That is what they bring to this game. Oakland brings in the #6 rated pass defense. With a KC offense that hasn't been able to score, and a one-dimensional attack that will play into Oakland's strength, this becomes a lot of points. We will take the dog here.



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