2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
October 14, 2012
Oakland at Atlanta
Sunday 10/14 01:00 PM Eastern
2 units on Oakland PICK () (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: WIN
The Oakland Raiders are off a much-needed bye week and head to Atlanta to take on the 5-0 Falcons. Atlanta is getting a huge year out of QB Matt Ryan who leads the NFL in passer rating. While that aspect of the Falcons has been perfect, they simply don't stack up as a 5-0 team. Offensively they are ranked just No. 12 in the league. Defensively they weigh-in at just No. 17, and when you look at those rakings, it doesn't jump out and say 5-0 Super Bowl contender. Those numbers are sure better than Oakland who is ranked No. 25 on both offense and defense. But, that alone doesn't warrant a nearly double-digit line. It is the 5-0 record that is driving up the line, and nearly 80% of the public has taken the bait. The big edge the Raiders have here serves two purposes. Darren McFadden is a quality back, and that is the Falcons Achilles heel, as they have allowed 110+ rushing yards to every team they have faced, despite leading in most of them. A good running game also helps to shorten the game for the Raiders, which makes the points look even sweeter here. Oakland should stay close here.