This pick was released to clients on August 21, 2012 at 5:40PM ET.
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Notre Dame at Ohio State

January 2, 2006
img4:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Ohio State -4 (-110) (risk 3 to return 5.73)
Result:
WIN

I love this matchup for the Buckeyes. Also keep in mind that historically, this bowl game hsa been a lopsided one, and while that has no direct effect here, I will not be surprised to see the Buckeyes trounce the Irish. Notre Dame has had a great season and prior to the season, their schedule looked like a difficult one. It has turned out to be a rather bland one minus the loss to USC. Ohio State is a very very good football team. They should have beaten Texas earlier in the season. Yeah, Brady Quinn can throw but Ohio State is 6-0 ATS vs. good passing teams with a completion pct. of 58% or better this season. Ohio State gave up just 2.4 yards per play this year on the road vs. teams that averaged 4.6. That stat is nothing short of amazing. They held opponents to 1.5 YPP less than their average while ND's defense allowed opponents to achieve their average. Look for Ted Ginn to drive the Irish defense nutso here, while the Buckeyes defense bends but does not break and gets in the face of Quinn all day long. I think the Irish have trouble getting to twenty here. Neutral field games where the total is between 49.5 and 56 featuring two very good non-conference teams that have outscored their opponents by 10+ PPG have gone UNDER 77% (54-16) since 1992. Ohio State for three stars and two stars on the UNDER.

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