This pick was released to clients on October 15, 2012 at 2:06PM ET.
img CBB

Niagara at Saint Peter's

February 9, 2007
img7:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
4 units on Niagara -5 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS

Are these two teams just five points apart? Not even close. Let's look at play vs. common opponents this season. Niagara has gone 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS. St. Peters in contrast has gone 1-11 SU and 4-7 ATS. Versus these common opponents, Niagara has scored a full 21 points per game more than St. Peters. When these two teams met on January 3, Niagara won by 33 points. Sure, that was a home game and this is on the road, but what we can see here is that Niagara is WAY better than St. Peters and having to lay just 5 points is a gift. St. Peters is 3-20 on the season and 2-8 at home. Against the spread, they are winless at home. Niagara is a winning road team that has gone 8-4 ATS away from home. With Joe Mihalich as head coach, Niagara is 15-5 ATS on the road vs. losing teams in late-season play. St. Peters is 5-22 ATS their last 22 home games as an underdog. They are also 0-6 ATS the past two seasons at home vs. winning teams.

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