New York at Kansas City

Zack Greinke gets the pleasure of trying to slow down A-Rod and the Yankees. He just may be able to do it. He has a 3.87 ERA on the year and has gone 19 straight innings without allowing a run. Chein-Ming Wang has been nearly as good of late so it will be a tough task for the Royals. But, the Royals are a decent home team and the Yankees still own a losing record away from home on the year. Backing up Grienke is a good bullpen. New York has a tendency to let down at times throughout the year and this seems like a perfect opportunity after winning the first two games and the last one in such convincing fashion. The Yankees are 20-25 this year in their third consecutive road game. Meanwhile, KC wants to avoid the home sweep. Home underdogs of +175 or more off a loss facing an opponent of 2+ wins are a 51% winner (47-45) over the past five seasons. As we have mentioned in the past, this is not the "old" Royals. This year this team is almost .500 against the league's elite. They are 20-22 against teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5+ runs per game. We give KC about a 50% shot at winning this game and at these odds that spells big-time value.