New York at Philadelphia

The Mets have lost five of seven and face a team on a winning streak here yet find themselves favored. Jamie Moyer goes for the Phils. He's been average at best this year but we like him in this situation. He eats up the Mets (5-3 record and 2.88 ERA lifetime) and he held New York to just two runs in seven innings last time they met. He's also a good bet at home having gone 33-13 over the past three seasons including 16-4 in post All-Star break play. Yes, Perez has been very good this year, but he is just 1-2 with a 5.06 ERA vs. the Phils. The Mets are not scoring (4.0 per game over their last seven) while Philadelphia has been scoring. The Phillies average 5.4 per game overall, 5.5 at home and 5.6 vs. LHP. We like the Phillies at home here.