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2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks

December 02, 2007


New York at Miami

Sunday 12/02 01:00 PM Eastern

3 units on New York +2 (+100) (risk 3 to return 3)  RESULT: WIN

The jury is still out on Miami. Do they manage to become the first NFL team in history to go winless for the season? We don't have the answer for that, but what we don't see is any value in a winless team as a favorite. Sooner or later, you have to score some points in this league to win a game, and Miami just hasn't been able to do anything offensively. The last four weeks they have put up a grand total of 27 points, or just 6.8 ppg. We are not quite sure how a team scoring less than a TD a week ends up a favorite. The Jets certainly have not had a good season, but remember this was a playoff team last year, with similar personnel, and a team that hasn't quit. If you throw out the two losses to powerhouses Dallas and New England, the two best teams in the NFL right now, the Jets are losing games by an average of just 4.8 ppg. Every team likes a shot at an undefeated team, and by the same token, no team wants to be the first to lose to a winless team. The Dolphins running game took another blow, when Ricky Williams joined Ronnie Brown on IR, and Jesse Chatman left last week's game with a neck injury. Chatman should play Sunday, but he may not be 100% either. Since QB Trent Green went down with yet another concussion, Cleo Lemon and John Beck have a total of three TD passes versus four INTs. It's hard to see a team as a favorite with no running game, and no QB. Miami makes it to 0-12.



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