2007 Season NFL Football Past Picks
December 23, 2007
New York at Buffalo
Sunday 12/23 01:00 PM Eastern
3 units on Buffalo +3 (-130) (risk 3 to return 3) RESULT: loss
2 units on Game Total UNDER 32 -110 (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: loss
The Giants started the season 0-2 but then reeled off six straight wins. Again, they looked like they were headed for the playoffs. Then, as has been their history under Tom Coughlin, they seemed to quit. They have since gone 3-3 and again risk missing the playoffs. Their three wins came against struggling teams in Detroit, Chicago and Philadelphia. In their three losses, they lost by 16 points per game on average. In all of these games, Eli Manning has looked terrible. They now go on the road, favored by a field goal against a team that has won six of their last nine games. Buffalo's three losses? They came against New England, Jacksonville and Cleveland - teams that combine for a 33-9 record! This is not a must-win for New York. Even if they lose, if the Redskins and Saints lose, New York is in the playoffs. Jeremy Shockey, a key outlet for Manning, is done for the season. And, Plaxico Burress is still hobbled and was completely ineffective last week. Without Shockey and a healthy Burress, Manning could be even worse than he has been - which is saying a lot! Buffalo is out of the playoffs but they are still playing for a winning record. And Kevin Everett, hurt earlier this year and not expected to walk again, will be introduced prior to the game, giving an emotional lift to the Bills. Buffalo is a winning home team that is 6-1 ATS this season! Under Dick Juron, this Bills team is 10-1 ATS in close games (line from -3 to +3) and in his coaching career, Juron is 13-1 ATS at home vs. non-conference opponents. We are also adding the UNDER here as a late play based on expected weather conditions. This is a weather alert under play, that we have been taking advantage of all season. This game fits a system we have that has produced over 70% winners! Play the UNDER in this game, the earlier the better.