New York at Toronto

The N.Y. Yankees are in a pennant race while Toronto is in last place in the AL East. New York is fourth in baseball in runs scored and on-base percentage, while the deep pitching staff is sixth in ERA. New York starter Masahiro Tanaka has topped Toronto twice this season, 11-5 and 6-3, with a 3.38 ERA in two starts against them. The Yankees are 23-8 when Tanaka faces a team with a losing record, 21-5 when he faces an AL team with an on-base percentage of .320 or worse, plus he is 6-1 all-time against Toronto. Toronto is #26 in runs scored, #20 in pitching, 18-27 against the American League East this season. The Blue Jays are hurting for pitching and bring Nick Tepesch (5.40 ERA) up from Triple-A Buffalo to start. He is 9-19 with a 4.69 ERA in 44 appearances (41 starts) with Texas, the Dodgers and Twins. Toronto is 11-21 against a team with a bullpen ERA of 3.45 or better and New York has one of the best in the game. Take the N.Y. Yankees.