New York at Miami

The Mets are on a tear and while I backed them yesterday, I like the Marlins in this one at this very short price. David Phelps has gone 11.7 innings in two home games, allowing just four hits and one earned run. With New York averaging just 3.56 runs per game and .212 hitting on the road, I think they are in for a long night here vs. Phelps. Under manager Terry Collins, the Mets are just 9-25 off an upset win over a division rival as a dog of +130 or more. This is a good spot for Miami so take the Marlins to win.