New York at Los Angeles

New York has had a brutal schedule. Oddsmakers and the public are down on them after getting blowout out at home by the talented 49ers, but this team was competitive in the first two games, losing 26-16 to Pittsburgh and 17-13 to Chicago. Two of those three teams are in the top three in the league defensively in yards allowed. The Giants' defense is #13 in yards allowed, #17 in points surrendered, allowing 23.7 points per contest. New York is on a 13-4 ATS run on the road, including 11-3 ATS as a road dog. They are also 46-25 ATS away versus teams that average 350+ yards passing per game. They are a huge dog to a Los Angeles team in a difficult situational spot, home after playing two straight road games at Buffalo and Philly. The Rams' defense has been subpar, #18 in total yards allowed, #20 against the pass (253.3 pg). NFL favorites of 10.5 points or more are 18-45 ATS after having won two of their last three October games, and if those teams are home they are 13-39 ATS. Play New York.