New York at Minnesota

The New York Liberty are highly motivated, in fifth place in the East, but very close to the fourth and final playoff spot. They come off a loss, but the Liberty is 4-0-1 ATS following a defeat, and 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight road games. They are the top rebounding team in the WNBA, and are a big dog at Minnesota, the team with the best winning percentage in the league. However, the Minnesota Lynx aren't playing like it, losing three in a row, all as chalk. In fact, they've been favored by -2, -14.5 and -15 the last three games and lost by four, eight, and six. The problems are across the board, allowing 80, 79, 94 and 83 points the last four games. The last game, Seimone Augustus (33 points) was on target, but everyone else combined to shoot 15 of 41 (36.6 percent) against a last place Tulsa Shock team. They have been overvalued by oddsmakers for a while, on a 3-5 ATS run. Play the New York Liberty.