This pick was released to clients on August 14, 2012 at 10:28PM ET.
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New Orleans at Tampa Bay

November 2, 2003
img1:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
4 units on Tampa Bay -8 (-110) (risk 4 to return 7.64)
Result:
LOSS

Which defense will show up for Tampa Bay? The one that was torched by Indianapolis and San Francisco or the one that shut out Philadelphia and Dallas? I’m thinking the latter. Here’s why: It’s Revenge Time for Tampa Bay. They took out their frustrations on Dallas last week but they’re still pissed. Of TB’s four losses last season, two came from New Orleans. That’s enough motivation to keep Tampa fired up this week. On top of that, Tampa’s best chance to catch division-leading Carolina will be this current stretch in which they play 3 out of 4 games at home. Tampa also qualifies for a trend in which home teams off a shut-out cover most of the time in the following game.

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