New Orleans at Miami

61% of the preseason games through week three have gone OVER the total (28-19-1). This not a one-year event as last year 55% of the games went OVER the total. This has become a clear trend. Sean Peyton has his team at 3-0 in thus far, and he has never been shy about letting the offense do its thing down here. Last year he had to sit out the season, but his Saints with him on the sidelines, have produced a lot of points. Over the last five years here his team has played 20 times, producing an amazing 24 points per game. He has topped that this year at 25.3 points per game. When you consider these games are typically low scoring, you can see an influence here that drives the offense. Joe Philbin's Miami Dolphins have moved the ball for 20 ppg, but they have just one win to show for it in three tries, so the problem has been on defense. This game has the typical low total posted, but I see an opening for a game that should comfortably top it. Play this one on the OVER.