New Orleans at Indiana

Indiana is scoring, but they can't stop anyone either. They are allowing 104.5 points per game and come off back-to-back 108 point defensive performances. Today they face one of the best defenses in the NBA in New Orleans. The Hornets are holding opponents to just 91.2 points per game, second only to Cleveland. The Hornets' defense is slightly worse on the road and that's one reason I like this game to go OVER the total. I see this game getting into the 200s. The Hornets should get the win. They are 8-2 since last season on the road vs. up-tempo teams like Indiana (those averaging 83+ shots per game). The Hornets are also 15-3 over that span as a small road favorite of under -250 on the moneyline. Indiana is 42-28 OVER as an underdog dating back to last season. They are also 26-11 OVER in non-conference games over that span. I like the Hornets to win straight-up here as well as this game to go OVER the total.