This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2020 at 5:08PM ET.
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New England at Kansas City

October 5, 2020
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Kansas City -10.5 (-107) (risk 1 to return 1.93)
Result:
WIN

This line took a jump on Saturday when it was announced that Patriots QB Cam Newton had tested positive for COVID. Chiefs practice squad QB Jordan Ta'amu was also positive, but further tests proved negative for the rest of the Patriots and Chiefs' roster. Brian Hoyer will lead the offense for New England, but he'll do so without the services of Sony Michel, who was ruled out Monday morning with a quad injury. The Patriots will look to go with a ball-control offense but if they fall behind, they really don't have the passing attack to score quickly. Unlike the Chiefs, whose fast and multi-dimensional attack causes nightmares for even the stoutest, defensive minds like Bill Belichick. Hoyer has a career completion percentage of 59.1% and he's shown very little ability to run the football in limited action over the past few years. The journeyman has a 8:8 TD-to-INT ratio in that span, similar to Newton's 2:2 ratio in three games as a Patriot. Kansas City is home with an unstoppable offense, but the defense has really impressed ranking #11 in yards allowed and sixth in points surrendered (20 per game). QB Patrick Mahomes (9 TDs, 0 INTS) is off to another MVP start, with a trio of talents in TE Travis Kelce, WR Tyreek Hill, and WR Sammy Watkins. And don't forget the new-look rushing attack, led by rookie RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire, who has 66 touches his first three games as a pro. The Chiefs are on a 16-6 spread run, 13-5 ATS as chalk, and 17-7 ATS after one or more consecutive wins. They are also 53-34 ATS against teams that average 4.5 rushing yards per carry. Including next week's game against the Raiders and a Week 6 Thursday nighter, KC is about to play three games in 11 days. They can't afford to let this important home date slip away. Play Kansas City to cover. 

Final
1
2
3
4
F
New England Patriots
0
3
0
7
10
Kansas City Chiefs img
6
0
7
13
26
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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