Nebraska at Texas

Yes, Texas is ranked #7 and sit at 20-3 and 8-1 in the Big 12. But, do they really deserve to be 20 point favorites here against Nebraska? Let's not forget the Huskers have won three of four and have still won 68% of their games this season. Their offense is weak and Texas has a great defense. And, Nebraska is coming off a 48 point performance against Kansas. But, the public is overreacting to all of this ang giving us value. Road underdogs of 10+ points that score under 67 PPG facing an excellent defensive team holding opponents to <63 PPG are 41-16 (72%) ATS since 1997 if coming off a very low scoring game (<60 points). Nebraksa's defense has played great of late holding opponents to 60.8 PPG over their last five games. They won't come close to winning this but I think they cover the very large spread. Two stars on the Cornhuskers.