This pick was released to clients on October 05, 2023 at 6:43AM ET.
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Navy at Air Force

October 6, 2018
img3:30 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 49 -125 (risk 1 to return 1.8)
Result:
WIN

There is no secret what to expect here as both teams run out of the triple-option, and Navy has gone pretty much exclusively to the run, completing just 17 passes on the season. The one thing about the option is it is difficult to prepare for as most teams do not see it but once a season. Since both run their offense out of the option, they practice against it every day. That has led to a lot of lower-scoring games than expected when Air Force, Army, and Navy gets together. The last 48 times a game has been between two of these three schools the UNDER is 35-13. This year has elements to conclude that to be the case in this one. Navy QB, Macolm Perry is coming off a concussion, and Air Force QB Isaiah Sanders has a concussion and is questionable. Navy back up QB Zack Abby is also questionable, as he is used in the red-zone where he has six TDs. Additionally, when Coach Niumatalolo is off a bye, his team have been 15-2 to the UNDER on the road. Navy is now 27-12 to the UNDER vs. a team that averages fewer than 150 yards per game, and 35-17 to the UNDER vs. a team that averages over 200 yards on the ground. Air Force is averaging 3.77 yards per carry on the season, their lowest mark in years. Play this one to finish UNDER.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Navy Midshipmen
0
7
0
0
7
Air Force Falcons img
0
14
14
7
35
consensus consensus
odds odds
 
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