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Minnesota at Utah

March 5, 2008
img9:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Minnesota +16 (-110) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS

No team has been more impressive at home than the Jazz, who have now won 16 straight on their own floor. There is a price to pay for their backers, as they now face the biggest pointspread of the season vs the T-wolves. That kind of success means that there is no value on the Jazz anymore at home, as they face astronomical pointspreads that they have difficulty living up to. During this 16 game winning streak at home, they have faced three double-digit lines, and could not cash any of them. The Jazz appear to save their best for the best, as they have won and covered all of their last five vs .500+ teams, but failed to cover in each of the three against the sub-.500 teams. The Jazz play Friday night in Phoenix, who has a 1.5 game lead on them in the Western Conference Playoff standings. Like in past games vs bad teams, the energy may be reserved for what's ahead vs what is at hand. This is the perfect sandwich game, as the Jazz are also off of a big win vs Dallas. Minnesota has fared well vs the big pointspreads having gone 16-11 ATS as a 8.5+ dog. They have also played better over the second half of the season. They started 15-23 ATS, but have since been 16-11. We like the T-Wolves here, as the Jazz have sights set on Friday, and will conserve energy for the up-tempo Suns.

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T
Minnesota Timberwolves
20
19
16
21
76
Utah Jazz
26
25
29
25
105
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