2015 Season NFL Football Past Picks

November 15, 2015

15

Minnesota at Oakland

Sunday 11/15 04:05 PM Eastern

1 unit on Minnesota +3 (-115) (risk 1 to return 1.87)  RESULT: win

2 units on Game Total OVER 43.5 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)  RESULT: win

Oakland is getting a lot of respect from oddsmakers because of QB Derek Carr, but this is a .500 team with a bad defense. Oakland is #30 in the NFL in yards allowed and #24 in points (26.4 points per game). The Raiders are coming off a spread cover, but are 7-18-1 ATS when following a cover. They are also on a 9-2 run OVER the total, including 4-1 OVER at home and 20-7-1 OVER the total after a spread cover. A well coached and balanced Minnesota team is in town, one on a 22-8 spread run, as well as 7-0 ATS after a victory. They topped the Rams last week, 21-18, as RB Adrian Peterson had 21 of his 125 yards in overtime to set up Blair Walsh's winning field goal. QB Teddy Bridgewater is 12-8 since becoming the Vikings starting quarterback four games into last season. Six of those victories have come over a seven-game stretch that has Minnesota tied with Green Bay atop the NFC North in Mike Zimmer's second season. Minnesota's sixth-ranked pass defense (220.6 ypg) will be challenged and Oakland is 8-1 OVER the total after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. This is a tough spot for the home team after playing at Pittsburgh last week, and the underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings. Take Minnesota and the OVER.

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