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Minnesota at New York

July 3, 2007
img12:00 AM Eastern
Premium Pick
3 units on Minnesota +190 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 3)
Result:
LOSS

A-Rod is likely to be in the lineup but may not be at 100% after straining his hamstring in Monday's game. The Yankees put Wang on the mound tonight and he has been quite solid this season - one of the few bright spots on the mound for New York. But, do the Yankees deserve to be 2-to-1 favorites here? No way. Carlos Silva is going for Minnesota and he has been solid as well. He's off two straight wins, yielding six runs, one HR and two walks in 14 innings of work. Let us not forget how bad New York has been. Since their mini-run in which they won 11 of 12 in early June, they have gone 3-9. Overall outside of that one good run, they are 27-40. They are averaging 2.3 runs per game over their last seven games. In the past two weeks they have had games in which they allowed 6, 6, 7, 7 and 11 runs. Minnesota has been a solid underdog play the past two seasons (50-54). The Yankees are very prone to going on bad runs. They are 11-16 this season after having lost two of their last three games and they are just a .500 ballclub (18-18) following a win. Good spot for a dog of this price as the linesmakers are saying Minnesota has a 33% chance of winning this game. We peg it at closer to 50% and we'll take that line value.

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Minnesota Twins
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New York Yankees
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