Minnesota at New Orleans

Minnesota has some serious problems right now. They have lost five of their last six (four of those lost ATS) and they are getting blown out. The good teams they are playing are laying 107+ on them. The Hornets will be without Chris Paul here but they are good enough to cover this number without him. Without him in the lineup, we are getting line value as this is not a big line at home and the T-Wolves are just 9-16 straight-up on the road this year. They are 28-41 ATS the past two seasons against winning teams. Meanwhile, New Orleans is 13-4 ATS over that span as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points. I like the Hornets here. I also like this game to go OVER. Minnesota allows 102 per game on the season and over their last five games they have allowed 111 per game! New Orleans is 34-19 OVER the past three seasons in home games against losing teams. New Orleans and the OVER here.