Milwaukee at St. Louis

Kyle McClellan comes into this one at 4-0 with a solid 3.79 ERA. Chris Narveson is just 1-2 and over his last three starts he has been shelled for 14 earned runs (more than his 13 strikeouts). Backing up McClellan is a very good pen that has produced a 2.60 ERA and 75% save rate at home this season. It's going to be tough for the Brewers to score here as they are averaging just 3.1 runs per game on the road. St. Louis meanwhile has gotten 5.3 per game vs. LHP like Narveson. Milwaukee have lost seven of their last eight road games and six of the last seven road games with Narveson toeing the rubber. I like St. Louis to get the win here.