Milwaukee at Miami

Milwaukee is a bad road team (5-10) and plays its sixth straight road game. The pitching is terrible, last in baseball with a 5.59 ERA, and the defense is almost as bad, #29 in errors made. The Brewers are 11-27 vs. a team with a winning record. Milwaukee trots out shaky righty Zach Davies (0-3, 6.98 ERA), who has struggled with his control by issuing three walks in three of his four starts, including a 6-3 setback to Miami on April 29. The Brewers are 12-45 against a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15 and face Miami lefty Adam Conley (2-1, 3.06 ERA). Miami is on a sizzling 12-3 run and the Marlins are 12-5 in Conley's last 17 starts. Miami's offense is sixth in baseball in on base percentage, so the home team holds all the cards here. Take Miami.