Milwaukee at Houston

Brandon Backe faces Manny Parra here. We like Backe and the Astros at home in this matchup. While most look to an overall better record for the Brewers, they are just 5-7 in their last twelve while Houston is 8-4 in their last twelve. Their offense has come alive, scoring 5.9 per game over that span including 20 runs in their last three. On the season, Houston is 7-5 at home scoring 5.7 per game. The Brew-Crew are just 68-110 the past three seasons on the road. Backe is 18-8 in division games and 23-5 at home! At this line, we love the value on the Stros.