This pick was released to clients on March 03, 2015 at 10:15AM ET.
img NBA

Milwaukee at Denver

March 3, 2015
img9:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
1 unit on Milwaukee -5.5 (-110) (risk 1 to return 1.91)
Result:
LOSS

Denver is a mess, losing six in a row and are on a 5-15-1 spread run. Denver made a big mistake in trading second-leading scorer Arron Afflalo, with the team averaging 87.8 points and shooting 36.1% while dropping six straight. Losers in 19 of 21, the Nuggets' 99-92 loss to New Orleans on Sunday left them within a game of the team-record 11-game home losing streak set in 1997-98. Meanwhile, Milwaukee has overachieved all year behind this defense and first-year coaching staff, at #3 in the NBA in points allowed and field goal shooting defense, allowing 43%. The Bucks are 38-17-1 ATS following a loss and 10-4 ATS playing on two days of rest. The Nuggets are just 16-40-2 ATS at home against a team with a losing road record, plus they're on a 5-15-1 ATS run at home. Lay the points on Milwaukee.

FINAL
1
2
3
4
F
Milwaukee Bucks
29
22
19
25
95
Denver Nuggets img
29
26
21
30
106
consensus consensus
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