Milwaukee at Chicago

Milwaukee had a comfortable division lead (8.5 games) back on June 23. Since then they have let Chicago take the lead into it by posting a 23-35 record. THey won on Wednesday to snap a five game skid. This is a very important game for them and we think they ride the momentum from yesterday to a win here. Yes, they throw a rookie on the mound. But we like Parra's chances. In his first appearance he went six innings allowing just one earned run on six hits. He's facing Ted Lilly who has been awful of late. In his last three starts, he has gone just 17 innings and allowed 13 earned runs. And the best part is that Lilly is a southpaw. Milwaukee eats up LHP. They score about 4.5 per game vs. RHP but put up 5.4 per game vs. lefties. While they are just 41-46 for -9.6 units vs. RHP, they are 25-20 for +2.4 units vs. left-handers. This team, in a critical game, is going to step it up tonight to lift up the rookie. The Cubs are just 15-16 this season as a favorite of -150 or more so this is a very losable game for them.