Milwaukee at Atlanta

It would be easy to look at the Braves overall record and discount this line having any value facing Ben Sheets. The fact is that the Braves are 27-12 at home and 4-1 when posted as a home dog. They have been a dominating team at home and have taken out some of the best pitchers the NL has to offer. The Braves beat Santana twice and once each over Brandon Webb and NL ERA leader Edinson Volquez at home this season. While Ben Sheets has been superb, so were the other aforementioned pitchers and they left Atlanta with a loss. Jo Jo Reyes is certainly capable of keeping the Braves in this one as he has allowed two runs or less in six of his 10 starts. The value is on Atlanta here.