Michigan State at Kentucky

The fifth-seeded Spartans moved a step closer with a 78-68 hammering of Blue Devils Friday and now take on the #2 seed Kentucky Wildcats who come in off a 62-52 win over Utes. Michigan State is perfect against-the-number in Tourney play and a cash stuffing 10-2-1 ATS last thirteen on the hardwood. They've won three of their last four Regional Final appearances. #5 Seeds are 3-0 SU & ATS last nine years in this round while #2 Seeds are just 6-13-1 ATS going back to '95 and teams that come in scoring 67 or less points are 7-26 SU & ATS. Michigan State went 13-3 in Big 10 play with that conference proving to be strong (half of remaining teams). NCAA Tourney favorites off 2+ consecutive ATS covers 
are 41-87 ATS (32%) in their next game since 1997. While I think Michigan State will win this one, these teams are pretty evenly matched. As a result, we'll go with one star on the underdog.