This pick was released to clients on August 24, 2012 at 12:12PM ET.
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Michigan at Texas

January 1, 2005
img5:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Michigan +7 (-110) (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN

The Wolverines struggled against the run late in the season, stumbling to the finish by getting pummeled by Ohio State in the season finale. They have had trouble against balanced offenses. Lucky for them, they are playing Texas here. While Young is talented with his feet and Cedric Benson may be the best running back the Wolverines have faced, the Longhorns are not balanced whatsoever. They will line up and pound it right at you. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points off an upset loss to a conference rival as a favorite facing an opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals are an amazing 26-6 over the last five seasons for 81%. Texas is 2-10 ATS in road games after 5 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992. This game has the makings of a classic. Both teams will line up and pound each other. Edwards and Benson, two young men who will be high first-round NFL draft choices come May, will battle it out. Me thinks this one will come down to the fourth quarter. I like the underdog in what I think will be a tight battle. UT is strong but Michigan will give them everything they can handle. Thus, Michigan for two stars at +7 and one-star on them to make it an upset win.

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