Miami at Orlando

A lot has gone wrong for Miami this season, and we know Wade is doubtful tonight, but for Orlando to be laying double digits is a huge overlay. We don't remember too many times a team that has gone 4-10 in their last 14, comes in on a 4 game losing streak, and has not covered as a home favorite for 8 straight, and installed as an 11 point favorite. Miami may not be where they would like at this stage of the season, but they still have covered 11 of 17 with 1 push. Orlando has not been blowing anyone out even when they win as they are not only 0-8 ATS as a home favorite in their last 8, but 5-16 ATS over their last 21. We will take the overlay here, and go with the Heat.