Miami at Los Angeles

When the NBA put this game on the schedule, they were hoping for LeBron vs. Kobe. With Kobe sidelined, there's not much of a battle in store here. The Heat are 21-6, winning by 7.8 points per game. Los Angeles is 13-15, losing by four points per game. Yes, this game is in Los Angeles, but I don't think it really matters. Under Eric Spoelstra, the Heat are 81-61 ATS as road chalk. Dating back to last season, the Heat are 20-8 ATS on the road vs. losing teams. And they are 16-2 ATS on the road vs. teams that allow 99+ points per game. Meanwhile, over that span, Los Angeles is just 9-22 ATS vs. teams that make 46%+ from the field (Miami hits 51.4%). Lay the points with the Heat.