This pick was released to clients on August 07, 2012 at 8:59PM ET.
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Miami at Dallas

June 20, 2006
img9:10 PM Eastern
Premium Pick
2 units on Game Total UNDER 188 -110 (risk 2 to return 3.82)
Result:
WIN

Yeah, I'm back on the UNDER. We deserved it last game and again I see value on it here. Especially given the location. The first two games played here went way UNDER. Game one resulted in 170 points and game two tallied 184. Miami, unfortunately for their fans, has to go back on the road after a great homestand. Away from home when facing great teams, Miami is not very good. Their offense averaged around 6 points less per game this season on the road. They are 13-9 UNDER in the playoffs this season and were 28-23 UNDER this season on the road. Dallas was 28-22 UNDER at home this year. Miami is 10-2 UNDER this year on the road vs. good shooting teams (46%+ FG) and 13-5 UNDER as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points. Dallas is 9-1 UNDER following a close loss this season and 12-4 UNDER at home off any type of loss. I see Miami returning to game 1/2 form here and struggling to reach 90 points. Play UNDER 188

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