Miami at Chicago

Despite what a lot of people are saying now, I think Chicago had a decent (at least 50%) chance of winning this series. They came close, but in the end Miami has proven to be better at closing out games (at least thus far). Chicago can breathe some life into their chances with a convincing win here. It may or may not come (too close to call). I do have a prediction on what's going to come here though, and that's a lot of defense. These really are two great defensive teams and the intensity tonight will be very high. LeBron has done a great job of clamping down on Chicago's only real offensive threat (Rose). And, let's not forget how great this Bulls defense played at home in games one and two. They allowed 82 and 85 in those two games. In Miami, they struggled to contain the big three. But in this building with this crowd, with their lives on the line, I again expect an inspired defensive effort from Chicago. In the playoffs, the Bulls have allowed just 88.6 points per game. Miami has allowed 88.9. In games vs. winning teams, Chicago is 27-17 UNDER this season. They are also 30-19 UNDER at home this year and 25-12 UNDER revenging a loss (18-7 UNDER if opponent scored 100+ in that loss). I expect a real defensive battle here and a low-scoring game.