Miami at Chicago

The Miami Heat broke open a close game three in the fourth quarter on their way to a 2-1 series lead with a 10 point win in Chicago. The Heat were the top shooting team in the NBA for the regular season, and have held the line in the playoffs as well. They have however shot the ball extremely well the last two games connecting on 77-140 for 55%. And that is over their head, especially against a Chicago team that is defensively solid, especially at home. I expect the Bulls to come out in game four with a defensive mindset, in much the same way thy did in game one where they held the Heat to 15 points in the first period and 37 for the opening half. They have to extend themselves on the defensive end, and make the game even more of a half-court battle. Miami has scored well in the last two games, but 64 of those points have come in the 4th quarter, or 32 a contest, because the Bulls depth is depleted by injuries, and they are simply out of gas for the fourth quarter. Miami has played 18 games in the first or second round of the playoffs the last two seasons, and no team has scored more than 94 points against them, so you know they will be there defensively early on. Play the first half UNDER the total.