2012 Season NFL Football Past Picks
September 30, 2012
Miami at Arizona
Sunday 09/30 04:05 PM Eastern
2 units on Arizona PICK () (risk 2 to return 2) RESULT: LOSS
Arizona's schedule over the first three weeks included Seattle, Philadelphia at home, and New England on the road. Coming into the year, I am sure no one saw 3-0 coming. There are always surprises in the NFL early going, and the Cardinals might be at the top of that list as only Atlanta and Arizona remain unblemished in the NFC. Are they for real? Time will tell. There are certainly questions that remain at quarterback but so far so good. The defense has led the charge, holding New England out of the end-zone for 58 minutes on the road, and keeping the Eagles’ attack out of the end-zone the entire game. What most don't realize is that this is not a short-term phenomenom for the Cards. This team finished 7-2 last season, and are now 10-2 over their last 12 games. That's a healthy sample size saying they are an elite team. They are certainly under the radar still. Getting them as a -5.5 point favorite at home vs. a pedestrian team (at best) like the Miami Dolphins is steeped in value. The Dolphins are 1-2 and Ryan Tannehill has struggled at QB with just a single TD pass to go with four INTs. He is completing a woeful 52.9% with a QB rating of just 58.3. In today's NFL, that just isn't going to cut it. It has been a while since the Fins got off to a good start as their September resume reads 6-17-3 ATS in their last 26. The Cardinals are playing big, and even bigger against the number at home where they have delivered the cash in six of their last seven. Take the Cardinals at home.