Memphis at Atlanta

Many thought Memphis would turn the corner this season, but they have not learned how to defend on the road and it has cost them. A trio of games vs Phoenix, Golden St. and the Lakers saw them allow over 120ppg.  Atlanta is going to take note of that. The Hawks already hung 119 on the Grizzlies in game one and I would look for them to be running again. In addition, the Hawks have put up 110+ five times on the season, with four of them vs losing teams. Atlanta seems to pick their spots to play uptempo and it is vs the weaker teams where they are 19-8 to the OVER in their last 27 vs a team with a road winning percentage of under .400. This series has seen five of the last six going over and I like this one to follow suit. OVER gets the nod.